From Central Counter to Local Living: Pass-Through of Monetary Policy to Mortgage Lending Rates in Districts

Jiří Gregor, Jan Janků, Martin Melecký

This paper studies the pass-through from the market benchmark rate (proxied by the 5-year swap rate) to interest rates on all newly issued residential mortgage loans in the Czech Republic—an EU country. It tests for and explains the potential spatial heterogeneity in the pass-through to local mortgage rates highlighted by the literature for the US (Scharfstein & Sunderam, 2016). This spatial pass-through has not been studied in the context of the EU with its specific mortgage loan market structure. Using unique data on residential mortgages in the Czech Republic over 2016-2021, we show that the pass-through varies notably across districts and is significantly driven by local mortgage market concentration (bank market power) and the unemployment rate. We find a lower aggregate pass-through than previous studies (about 0.5). The most important pricing factors for residential mortgage loans appear to be the loan-to-value ratio, the net income of the borrower, the loan maturity, and the length of the fixed-rate period.

JEL codes: E43, G21, G51, R32

Keywords: Banking market concentration, districts and regions, heterogeneity, interest rate pass-through, mortgage lending rates

Issued: November 2022

Download: CNB WP No. 9/2022 (pdf, 1.3 MB)